Why is Florida so critical in the election? One historian tells News 6, it’s because the state is up for grabs, and for the incumbent, Trump, he needs Florida to win.
“Donald Trump knows he has to carry Florida if he’s to have any chance of winning reelection,” University of Central Florida professor Jim Clark said.
Clark, a UCF historian, and political analyst, said it’s been almost 100 years since a Republican has won the White House without taking the state of Florida.
The last time it happened was in 1924 with President Calvin Coolidge, said, Clark.
When it comes to Florida and its 29 electoral votes, the Interstate 4 corridor, through Central Florida to Tampa, is key in determining which way the purple state goes.
“They will determine who wins Florida; since 1996, whoever wins the majority of those seven counties has gone to the White House,” said Clark.
The I-4 corridor counties include Pinellas, Hillsborough, Polk, Osceola, Orange, Seminole, and Volusia.
Clark said, right now, he knows Osceola and Orange County will go Democratic, and Polk County will go Republican. But he said the other counties are up in the air.
Well, the election day came and it seems that Trump is destroying Biden in Florida.
Early voting in the very important state of Florida is showing a very strong turnout for President Trump.
#FL 09:40am update. Red Tsunami coming!! Miami-Dade and Sarasota aren’t included in this data, but their combined impact will be minimal. We’re still looking at 300k+ R lead by the end of the day. I predict Trump wins FL by at least 5%. As goes FL, so goes the nation! #MAGA pic.twitter.com/rNV4WuHTXG
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
The latest update shows over 150K lead for President Trump!
Photo below:
#FL 3:40pm update R lead now at 153k, on its way to 250k-300k range after all counties report. Trump is projected to win FL by about 4 pts. pic.twitter.com/LJ26qadaAX
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
A new analysis of Gallup data out last week shows a stark partisan contrast in how the public perceives the coronavirus threat to their personal health.
According to data from the Gallup Panel conducting research on public opinion throughout the coronavirus pandemic, Republicans were far less terrified of the novel Chinese virus than Democrats which could lead to an even bigger win for President Trump.
(UPDATE)
Trump’s lead is now reportedly over 185K:
Per Mr. Ziegler, the R lead is now 189k. We should hit 250k at the minimum! I'll continue to use Joeisdone data for my graph for continuity. https://t.co/TcqRWOzwsp
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
(UPDATE)
#FL 4:20pm update. R Lead per Joeisdone site is now 164466. Slight uptick in rate of increase. Hopefully it continues and should reach 230k-270k range when all counties report. I estimate Trump will win by 4 pts. pic.twitter.com/yCiTrnGvhI
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
(UPDATE)
Florida Update:
Rep's: 4,087,834 (+173,200)
Dem's: 3,914,634
NPA/Other: 2,464,130Total: 10,466,598
via @umichvoter99 https://t.co/o4GQa6td1V
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 3, 2020
(UPDATE)
#FL R lead is at 176k, increasing at a steady rate of 18k/hr. So, this should reach 220k, without some delayed counties. When all counties report, it should be in 240k-270k range. I expect 3-4 point win by Trump. As goes FL, so goes the nation, esp MI and PA!! pic.twitter.com/DMDNXAt7zD
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
(UPDATE)
#FL R lead now at 181k at 5:20 pm. Excludes data from some important counties that will add to this R lead. pic.twitter.com/Nt9cw00udz
— au ng (@athein1) November 3, 2020
Come back for more updates, as we gonna update the article as we have more information.